Friday, September 13, 2019

Russia expects a national crisis



     With the impending new stage of the global crisis of imperialism, Russia cannot avoid this crisis, being a part of the world imperialist system.

       Bourgeois political scientists — economists, historians, sociologists, psychologists, and other specialists — predict a national crisis for Russia in the coming years, which will last about two years and end with a change in the political regime. They state that society is tired of the 20-year liberal course of the economy and, in their opinion, Russia's forward movement requires a change in the strategic economic course.

How effective the modern liberal course of the Russian economy is seen in terms of GDP growth. Rosstat estimated Russia's GDP growth in the II quarter of 2019 at 0.9%, in annual terms, which is within the error of determination (https://regnum.ru/news/economy/2687880.html). In the Stalin era, GDP growth amounted to 25% (the second five-year period).

They consider the cause of the national crisis to be a highly aggravated sense of justice among the people. The lack of justice in the distribution of social wealth, the mass poverty of the population in the world's richest country with natural resources, the disregard, arrogant attitude of the "servants of the people" - officials and authorities to their "master" - the people. Some of the rich allow themselves to call the people "rogue."

       People are particularly outraged by the glaring inequality in society: on the one hand, the terrible poverty of a significant part of the population, and on the other, the flashy and puffy wealth of a small handful of rich people who became rich due to the mass robbery of the country's population during the period of perestroika and in subsequent times. In Russia today there are 172 thousand dollar millionaires and more than one hundred dollar billionaires.

         The number of poor in Russia in recent years has fluctuated around the figure of 20 million people. This is more than 13% of the total population of the country. A poor person is one whose income is below the subsistence level. The cost of living by the government today is 11280 rubles. Among large families in Russia - 39% live in poverty. Among families with a disabled child, 37% of families barely make ends meet. In rural areas, 45% of children grow up in low-income families. We have about 5 million Russians living in dilapidated and dilapidated houses, the wear of which is from 70% and above. On the other hand, the aggregate fortune of the country's 200 largest entrepreneurs in 2017 alone increased by $ 25 billion to $ 485 billion. In the same year, the number of dollar billionaires in Russia increased from 96 to 106.

       At the same time, during the entire period of the liberal government, there is a constant outflow of capital from Russia in the amount of hundreds of billions of dollars, some of which goes to the acquisition of luxury real estate by the rich. Over the past two decades, only £ 100 billion of goods and financial instruments have passed through London and have been reinvested in property. The most luxurious mansion in Washington was bought by a Russian billionaire. The Yaroslavl billionaire for six million dollars bought a theater in London - one of the oldest theaters in the London West End! Another Russian billionaire bought the islands of Scorpios and Sparti for $ 100 million. The daughter of another billionaire and part-time State Duma deputy from the Republic of Tatarstan bought an estate in England in Surrey for 2 billion rubles. A little earlier, she bought an apartment in London for 10 million pounds. The Russian billionaire bought the world's largest yacht for € 400 million. For comparison, the twenty most expensive boats owned by Russian billionaires exceeded the cost of all warships built in the tenth years for the Russian Navy. For example, for 20 billion rubles — that is, for the cost of the not the most expensive yacht — you can upgrade the entire storm sewer in a large Russian city ... Or repair roads, for example, in the Kirov region. All roads in the area in need of repair!

The newest Russian “aristocracy”, one way or another came to power in 1991, represented by the oligarchy, political managers with real estate in the West, albeit recorded on a diverse family, secular “lionesses”, Rublev’s wives, all kinds of servants, including singers, writers and directors of the sample “prisoners of conscience and slaves of honor”, ​​he does not want to know anything about the life of the people, he hates Russia, spends most of his time abroad.

Federation Council speaker Valentina Matvienko (mother of dollar billionaire Sergey Matvienko!) Said that society should not have “discrimination of rich people” and that businessmen should not be condemned to switch to the civil service and to deputies, which, as practice shows, is mainly for lobbying their business interests or the interests of investors. (A good explanation of the essence of the current political power and the purpose of the Russian State Duma. Thank you!)

The current inequality in Russia is comparable to the level of inequality in the Russian Empire in 1905, which led  the Russian Empire toward the Revolution of 1917. This situation, according to some political scientists, with which we agree, indicates the extreme inefficiency of the current liberal Russian government. Therefore, confidence in the government is falling.

According to bourgeois political scientists, President V.V. Putin correctly argues that Russia needs a powerful economic upswing. Is the old-new government of D. Medvedev, reassigned V.V. Putin able to make this rise in 2016? No, not capable, they correctly consider. This is evidenced by 10 years of stagnation of the economy under the control of the same people, led by the same liberal economic dogma. We believe that the reason for stagnation lies in the fact that V.V. Putin cannot abandon his buddies - the "chicks of the Sobchak team" (to which he himself belongs), who are now in the highest structures of power.

This is Dmitry Medvedev, Dmitry Kozak, German Gref, Yegor Gaidar (died in 2009). As well as other “chicks of the Sobchak’s nest”, many of whom held leading positions in the government of Leningrad with him: Anatoly Chubais, Igor Sechin, Alexei Kudrin, Vladimir Churov, Alexey Miller, Vladimir Zubkov, Sergey Naryshkin and others closely connected with Leningrad University, nursery and headquarters of the counter-revolution.

Confidence in such a government is, indeed, exhausted, and there will be no growth of trust in the future. Therefore, society internally becomes ready for a social explosion, for revolution.

Our “partners” from across the ocean are zealously preparing for us a new “perestroika”, identifying Navalny’s leaders as one who organizes “protests against the authorities” calling for a change of Putin. We believe that the matter is not in Putin, but in the oligarchic capitalist system established by the counter-revolution in Russia. We are not for replacing some leaders of the capitalist formation with others (in this case, odious and inextricably linked with the West), but for replacing the criminal capitalist system with the socialist formation, which is possible only through the socialist revolution.

All the "protest actions" of Navalny are well funded by the United States for the implementation of the color revolution in Russia. Although they don’t write about it, everything secret becomes clear, such as the reason for the constant shelling on the contact line in the Donbass during the declaration of the ceasefire regime there. It is known that the APU commanders on the demarcation line constantly report to the American sponsors on the number of daily attacks by fighters of the APU on the territory of the DPR and LPR and on the number of victims among civilians in Donbass.

The “protest actions” of Navalny are widely advertised and popularized not only by the Russian Internet, but also by the Internet of our foreign “friends” to invite to participate and to notify about the route of the convoy of “protesters” (in Moscow), as well as about the successes achieved. If we take into account that these actions involve mainly young people who are little versed in politics and are “eager” for free money - paying for their participation in the action (known from Navalny’s previous shares in Moscow), then the shares can gain up to 15 million in Moscow 10-15 thousand people, which is less than 0.1% of the population of the city. So there is no need to talk about the "mass" support by the population of Navalny’s actions. According to the plan of the Western curators, the planned total number of those detained in "protest actions" (and not just those taking to the streets) should exceed a million ...

Despite the use of the media, despite the participation in the organization of the "protest" by representatives of US intelligence agencies working under the guise of the diplomatic status of the US Embassy, ​​and the financing of these actions, the Americans are not able to organize a "color" revolution in Moscow. The attempts of the “liberals" to hold an all-Russian protest rally on August 10 turned out to be untenable: in many cities, units came to share.

Bourgeois political scientists, predicting and predicting a political explosion, recommend the ruling authorities: if the government does not want a revolution from below, as it was 100 years ago, then the government must conduct a revolution from above. For this, it is necessary, firstly, the Central Bank, chaired by Sahipzadovna Nabiullina, to refuse to follow the instructions of the IMF and not to obey the ideology of the Washington Consensus, not to sit in the trenches of inflation targeting (targeting is a series of effective measures aimed at combating inflation). Secondly, they recommend the president to propose to Sergey Glazyev to change the model of economic development of Russia and provide him with the opportunity to implement the so-called accelerated development strategy proposed by the president.

But to realize this, it is necessary to raise pensions and the salary of citizens to a level of at least 40 thousand rubles a month instead of the notorious minimum wage (minimum wage) 11280 rubles, because cheap labor is a brake on economic development ... How can this be achieved in practice? Sergei Glazyev, heading the country's government, should annually increase pensions and salaries of state employees by 15−20%. This would increase the income of citizens, increasing the demand of the population in the domestic market, which would inevitably lead to an upswing in the Russian economy.

Government reforms and judicial reform are also needed. Qualitative changes are needed in the structure of the government responsible for economic development: the creation of indicator strategic planning bodies to organize the provision of a strategic management system for the Russian economy. Unlike the USSR State Planning Commission, which was developing policy plans for the development of the USSR, strategic indicator planning, created for 5.10, 15 and 25 years (as it is in China and Japan), is advisory in nature. And so on ... other recommendations.

       Is V. Putin able to carry out the reconstruction of state power in the Russian Federation, proposed by bourgeois political scientists? Hardly. Both the ruling oligarchy and his “friends” from the Sobchak team (mentioned above) will not allow him. Therefore, Russia is doomed to a political crisis of power, to a revolution from below, to a socialist revolution, no matter how scary it is to recognize the ruling elite not only of the economically oligarchic elite in the Russian Federation.

   Russian liberals, while concocting the 1993 Constitution of the Russian Federation, stated in it (Article 13) that there is no and cannot be a legislatively fixed ideology in the country. Such a formulation regarding ideology in the 1993 Constitution of the Russian Federation then pursued only one goal - to hide from the general public that they were not witnesses to the change of General Secretary Gorbachev to the alcoholic Yeltsin, but witnesses to the bourgeois counter-revolution, the change in the country of the socio-political system. And there, until they figure it out - to privatize and grab the nation-wide state property of the country, to destroy everything that was built later and with the blood of millions of Soviet people. The main thing is to quickly “slip through” and firmly saddle the socialist state, reforming it into a capitalist state.

     In our opinion, for Russia to move forward in order to fulfill its historical mission - to be ahead of the rest - it is not necessary to reform the existing criminal capitalist system, but to replace it with a socialist formation, where a person is not an enemy and not a competitor, but a friend, comrade and brother. The animal fear of power before the inevitable coming new socialist revolution does not leave the ruling class, and the question of the maturing of the revolutionary situation in Russia is already being discussed by deputies on the sidelines of the State Duma ...

Is the working-class and communist movement ready for decisive action? No, not ready because of its disunity and disorganization. The ruling government has protected itself from mass protests of workers by issuing draconian laws such as - allowing only single pickets, rallies only with the permission of the local administration, which does not always allow even protest rallies; surveillance by the enterprise administration of the political “trustworthiness” of those working at the enterprise, etc. (In Belarus, the government came up with an original way to prevent rallies, legally obliging the organizers of rallies to PAY for the rally!) Trade unions protect the interests of employers.

The communist opposition is divided into many parties and small parties, the creation of which the regime encourages with ambitious leaders. Many "communist parties" are created for one purpose - participation in the next election campaign - they are fighting for a very bready place in government, the price of which exceeds the worker’s earnings by 10 times or more. Legally existing "Communist Parties" live in complete consensus with the ruling authorities ...

Today the movement for the revival of the USSR is growing. Despite the constant curses of socialism, the communists and the Bolsheviks on the Internet, television and in print, the dream of a just world worthy of a well-paid job, free education and medicine, scanty payments for housing and food is alive in the hearts of people.

Capitalism has exhausted itself, as can be seen in the example of US domestic policy, and indeed in their foreign super-aggressive aggressive policy in certain regions of the planet. All over the world, fascism raises its head as the only effective force in the struggle of oligarchic financial capital with the labor movement, which is expanding and demonstrating its first successes.

         The workers and the communist movement cannot stop there. We must boldly go forward, winning capital from power one after another position. We wish the movement for the revival of the USSR, the workers' and communist movements everywhere good luck on the chosen path of the difficult struggle for socialism and in the struggle against the fascization of regimes

In the fight we will win!
General Secretary of the AUCPB
                                                                                                   Nina Alexandrovna Andreeva



August 15, 2019